Mexico Liga MX
Puebla
Puebla
VS
Toluca
Toluca

On 16th September 2026 at 02:00 GMT - Puebla will face Toluca in Liga MX.

After processing all of the information available for this game, the algorithm has predicted there will be a 26.7% chance of a Puebla win, a 40.0% chance of a Toluca win and a 33.3% chance of a draw - with the most likely correct score for the match to be 1-2.

When looking at the goals betting options, there is a 50% chance that the game will go Over 2.5 Goals and a 66.70% chance that Both Teams will Score in the game.

Looking at the recent form of the two teams we can see that Puebla have a 40.0% win rate over their past 5 home games and Toluca have a 40.0% win rate across their last 5 away games.


Match Result Predictions
home win
26.70%
draw
33.30%
away win
40.00%
correct score
1-2
first half Predictions
home win
20.00%
draw
60.00%
away win
20.00%
Over 0.5 FH Goals
53.00%
Over 1.5 FH Goals
20.00%
total goals predictions
Over 1.5 MG
70.00%
Over 2.5 MG
50.00%
Over 3.5 MG
25.00%
Both Teams to Score
66.70%
expected goals predictions
xMG
2.40
xHG
1.10
xAG
1.30
xFH Goals
0.73
Previous Fixtures
Date / time
2026-01-31 01:00:00
2025-03-15 03:05:00
2024-01-27 01:00:00
2023-04-08 01:05:00
2021-11-06 01:00:00
2020-08-29 00:30:00
2020-02-22 03:00:00
2018-07-28 02:00:00
2018-02-15 03:00:00
2016-09-11 23:00:00
Home
Puebla
Puebla
Puebla
Puebla
Puebla
Puebla
Puebla
Puebla
Puebla
Puebla
Home
score
away
score
0-0 (0-0)
0-3 (0-1)
1-1 (1-1)
1-2 (0-2)
1-0 (0-0)
4-1 (2-1)
2-0 (1-0)
2-1 (2-1)
2-0 (2-0)
0-2 (0-1)
Home
score
away
away
Toluca
Toluca
Toluca
Toluca
Toluca
Toluca
Toluca
Toluca
Toluca
Toluca
Recent Home Results
Puebla
Puebla
Toluca
Toluca
vs
score
W / L / D
Atlante FC
1 - 1
D
Santos Laguna
3 - 2
W
Guadalajara Chivas
1 - 1
D
Tlaxcala
3 - 1
W
Club Queretaro
1 - 2
L
vs
score
W / L / D
Club Queretaro
1 - 2
W
Atlante FC
0 - 0
D
Guadalajara Chivas
0 - 2
W
Atlante FC
3 - 3
D
Cancún
1 - 0
L
League Betting Overview

The data for Mexico Liga MX currently shows us that games in this competition end in a home win 45% of the time, an away win 29% of the time and 26% of games end in a draw. This data seems to suggest that for the Mexico Liga MX - if you are stuck with which outcome to select, your fallback option should be to back the Home Win in the Win Draw Win market.. Matches in Mexico Liga MX have had Both Teams Score in 55% of games - and Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 51% of fixtures in this competition. When looking into the other core goals markets we can see that Over 1.5 Goals has happened in 75% of games, Over 3.5 Goals has landed in 28% of the fixtures so far - if you are a fan of First Half Goals, there has been a goal in the first half of 69% of games.

Glossary
XFH Expected First Half Goals — the expected xG rating for the first half.
FH First Half
MG Match Goals
XMG Expected Match Goals — the expected xG rating for the match.
XHG Expected Home Team Match Goals — the home team's expected xG for the match.
XAG Expected Away Team Match Goals — the away team's expected xG for the match.