England Premier League
Chelsea
Chelsea
VS
Liverpool
Liverpool

On 4th October 2025 at 17:30 GMT - Chelsea will face Liverpool in Premier League.

After processing all of the information available for this game, the algorithm has predicted there will be a 40.0% chance of a Chelsea win, a 26.7% chance of a Liverpool win and a 33.3% chance of a draw - with the most likely correct score for the match to be 2-0.

When looking at the goals betting options, there is a 40% chance that the game will go Over 2.5 Goals and a 50.00% chance that Both Teams will Score in the game.

Looking at the recent form of the two teams we can see that Chelsea have a 80.0% win rate over their past 5 home games and Liverpool have a 40.0% win rate across their last 5 away games.


Match Result Predictions
home win
40.00%
draw
33.30%
away win
26.70%
correct score
2-0
first half Predictions
home win
46.70%
draw
40.00%
away win
13.30%
Over 0.5 FH Goals
67.00%
Over 1.5 FH Goals
20.00%
total goals predictions
Over 1.5 MG
55.00%
Over 2.5 MG
40.00%
Over 3.5 MG
35.00%
Both Teams to Score
50.00%
expected goals predictions
xMG
2.20
xHG
1.30
xAG
0.90
xFH Goals
0.93
Previous Fixtures
Date / time
2025-05-04 15:30:00
2024-02-25 15:00:00
2023-08-13 15:30:00
2023-04-04 19:00:00
2022-01-02 16:30:00
2020-09-20 15:30:00
2020-03-03 19:45:00
2019-09-22 15:30:00
2018-09-29 16:30:00
2018-05-06 15:30:00
Home
Chelsea
Chelsea
Chelsea
Chelsea
Chelsea
Chelsea
Chelsea
Chelsea
Chelsea
Chelsea
Home
score
away
score
3-1 (1-0)
0-1 (0-0)
1-1 (1-1)
0-0 (0-0)
2-2 (2-2)
0-2 (0-0)
2-0 (1-0)
1-2 (0-2)
1-1 (1-0)
1-0 (1-0)
Home
score
away
away
Liverpool
Liverpool
Liverpool
Liverpool
Liverpool
Liverpool
Liverpool
Liverpool
Liverpool
Liverpool
Recent Home Results
Chelsea
Chelsea
Liverpool
Liverpool
vs
score
W / L / D
Hull City
2 - 2
D
Leeds
6 - 3
W
Brighton
4 - 3
W
Luton
2 - 0
W
Real Sociedad
3 - 1
W
vs
score
W / L / D
Bournemouth
0 - 1
W
Ipswich
0 - 2
W
Newcastle
2 - 2
D
Aston Villa
4 - 2
L
Manchester United
3 - 2
L
League Betting Overview

The data for England Premier League currently shows us that games in this competition end in a home win 45% of the time, an away win 31% of the time and 24% of games end in a draw. This data seems to suggest that for the England Premier League - if you are stuck with which outcome to select, your fallback option should be to back the Home Win in the Win Draw Win market.. Matches in England Premier League have had Both Teams Score in 52% of games - and Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 54% of fixtures in this competition. When looking into the other core goals markets we can see that Over 1.5 Goals has happened in 77% of games, Over 3.5 Goals has landed in 31% of the fixtures so far - if you are a fan of First Half Goals, there has been a goal in the first half of 71% of games.

Glossary
XFH Expected First Half Goals — the expected xG rating for the first half.
FH First Half
MG Match Goals
XMG Expected Match Goals — the expected xG rating for the match.
XHG Expected Home Team Match Goals — the home team's expected xG for the match.
XAG Expected Away Team Match Goals — the away team's expected xG for the match.