• Football Tips
  • Ponferradina vs Mérida AD

Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina
Ponferradina
VS
Mérida AD
Mérida AD

On 19th September 2026 at 17:45 GMT - Ponferradina will face Mérida AD in Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

After processing all of the information available for this game, the algorithm has predicted there will be a 60.0% chance of a Ponferradina win, a 6.7% chance of a Mérida AD win and a 33.3% chance of a draw - with the most likely correct score for the match to be 2-1.

When looking at the goals betting options, there is a 50% chance that the game will go Over 2.5 Goals and a 56.70% chance that Both Teams will Score in the game.

Looking at the recent form of the two teams we can see that Ponferradina have a 0% win rate over their past 5 home games and Mérida AD have a 20.0% win rate across their last 5 away games.


Match Result Predictions
home win
60.00%
draw
33.30%
away win
6.70%
correct score
2-1
first half Predictions
home win
60.00%
draw
33.30%
away win
6.70%
Over 0.5 FH Goals
73.00%
Over 1.5 FH Goals
60.00%
total goals predictions
Over 1.5 MG
65.00%
Over 2.5 MG
50.00%
Over 3.5 MG
40.00%
Both Teams to Score
56.70%
expected goals predictions
xMG
2.90
xHG
2.30
xAG
0.70
xFH Goals
1.53
Previous Fixtures
Date / time
2026-04-04 19:00:00
Home
Ponferradina
Home
score
away
score
4-1 (2-0)
Home
score
away
away
Mérida AD
Recent Home Results
Ponferradina
Ponferradina
Mérida AD
Mérida AD
vs
score
W / L / D
Lugo
0 - 0
D
Real Madrid II
2 - 2
D
Real Avilés
1 - 1
D
Celta De Vigo II
0 - 0
D
Atlético Madrid II
0 - 0
D
vs
score
W / L / D
Cultural Leonesa
1 - 0
L
Leganes
3 - 0
L
Benfica B
4 - 0
L
Osasuna II
1 - 2
W
Barakaldo
2 - 0
L
League Betting Overview

The data for Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 currently shows us that games in this competition end in a home win 45% of the time, an away win 27% of the time and 28% of games end in a draw. This data seems to suggest that for the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 - if you are stuck with which outcome to select, your fallback option should be to back the Home Win in the Win Draw Win market.. Matches in Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 have had Both Teams Score in 47% of games - and Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 42% of fixtures in this competition. When looking into the other core goals markets we can see that Over 1.5 Goals has happened in 68% of games, Over 3.5 Goals has landed in 20% of the fixtures so far - if you are a fan of First Half Goals, there has been a goal in the first half of 64% of games.

Glossary
XFH Expected First Half Goals — the expected xG rating for the first half.
FH First Half
MG Match Goals
XMG Expected Match Goals — the expected xG rating for the match.
XHG Expected Home Team Match Goals — the home team's expected xG for the match.
XAG Expected Away Team Match Goals — the away team's expected xG for the match.