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RB Leipzig vs. Paderborn Match Preview and Betting Tips

Home » RB Leipzig vs. Paderborn Match Preview and Betting Tips

Julian Nagelsmann will welcome league bottom club Paderborn to the Red Bull Arena this weekend in a round-30 game expected to go the way of the hosts.

Back from their 4:2 away win over Koln, the third-placed hosts will be looking to make it two straight wins for the first time in the league since February.

The visitors meanwhile enter the tie on a poor run of form, having failed to take all three points in their last five league games. Back from a 6:1 drubbing at the hands of high flyers Borussia Dortmund, the visitors will hope that their second meeting against a top-four team in a week doesn’t end in a heavy defeat.

Steffen Baumgart charges who sit 18th place with 19 points will be looking to record just their first win in the league since January.  

Team News

Klaus Gjasula returns to the side after serving his one-game suspension. Luca Kilian, who is expected to be back in the side soon, remains the only other injury absentee. 

For Nagelsmann, Dayot Upamecano misses out through suspension while Ibrahima Konate (hip) and Fabrice Hartmann (ACL injury) are all out. This game may come too soon for Ethan Ampadu, who remains an injury doubt.

Head to Head

 RB Leipzig enjoy a better head to head record in this tie with four wins in four games.

Team Form

Leipzig last five matches in all competitions: WDWDW

Paderborn last five games in all competitions: LDDDL

Betting Preview

Leipzig head into this tie as clear favourites as their 4:2 win over FC Koln last time out extended their unbeaten run in all competitions to ten games (W6, D4). In that period, the hosts scored 25 goals and conceded just six with six clean sheets also.

With just 31 goals against them this season, the Red Bull powered side has the league’s second-best defence this season. Peter Gulasci between the sticks has kept nine clean sheets in the league this season.

However, just two of these nine clean sheets two have come from home games with Julian Nagelsmann’s men topping the league table on away clean sheets.

Their attack, however, at home makes for impressive reading as they average 2.5 goals per game at the Red Bull Arena this season. In total, they have scored 35 times at home this season, with 20 of those goals coming in the second half of the tie. This suggests that Leipzig are billed to score after the break.

Meanwhile, the visitors head into the game on the back of 6:1 drubbing from Borussia Dortmund last time out. Before the loss, they were on a three-game unbeaten run, albeit without a win (D3).

Although their road performances since the beginning of 2020 did improve as they collected points in four of the six away games they have played this year (W1, D3, L2), it will be a tough call to keep Timo Werner and co at bay this time around.

Again, the visitors have kept five clean sheets this season in the league, with the majority of these clean sheets coming away from home. Four out of five of these shutouts, however, came in 2020 and against teams in the bottom half of the table.

At the other end of the pitch, Steffen Baumgart’s boys have bridged their opposition’s defense 32 times this season—only two teams have scored fewer goals. The visitors average 1.25 goals on the road as they have scored 19 times away from home.

 If games ended in the first half, Paderborn will be rock bottom as they have just four times before the break in the league this season. However, with 31 goals against them after the break, they tend to concede more after the break.

Meanwhile, three of Leipzig’s last four games have had both teams score with over 3.5 goals recorded.

With that said, we can expect a comfortable win for Timo Werner and co. But by what margin, we do not know.

Suggested Bets

Leipzig to win @ 1/7

Over 3.5 @ 4/6

Both Teams to Score/No @ 21/20

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