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Paderborn vs. Dortmund Match Preview and Betting Tips

Home » Paderborn vs. Dortmund Match Preview and Betting Tips
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Bottom of the table club side Paderborn host the league’s second-place side, Borrusia Dortmund, in what many expect to be a one-sided tie this weekend at the Benteler Arena.

The hosts head into the encounter on a poor run of form, having taken three points from the last fifteen available. The hosts whose top-flight status for next season is all but confirmed sit bottom of the pile with 19 points from 28 games.

The visitors meanwhile suffered a harsh one-nil defeat against Bayern last time, they will hope to bounce back and get their title pursuit back on track. Lucien Favre’s men have been in a good run of form, having won eight of their last ten league games scoring 28 goals in that period.

They will be raring to go against a Paderborn back line that has conceded 15 goals and kept two clean sheets in 15 league games.

Team News

For Markus Gellhaus, Klaus Gjasula misses out due to suspension after picking up five yellow cards since February, while Luca Kilian is the other injury absentee. 

Lucien Favre may have to make do without the services of teenage sensation Erling Haaland who picked up an injury in the loss against Bayern last time out. 

Meanwhile, talismanic captain Marco Reus will sit out the game with a niggling groin injury while Nico Schulz remains out. A season-ending injury to French defender Dan-Axel Zagadou in the win over Schlake means that Favre will stick to the starting lineup that started against Bayern.

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Head-to-Head

BVB holds a superior head-to-head in this tie, having won three of the last five games between both sides in all competitions, outscoring their opponent 21:7.

Team Form

Paderborn last five games in all competitions: WLDDW

BVB last five matches in all competitions: LWWLW.

Betting Preview

Paderborn will be facing an uphill task of containing a dominant Dortmund side that has plundered 74 goals this season. The home side has one of the league’s worst defense, having conceded 55 goals this season. 

Their run of just one win in nine home games (D2, L6) means that they have one of the worst home form in the league. Much of this return is as a result of a poor start from the hosts as they have conceded the opening goal inside the first thirty minutes in six of their last seven games where they have drawn or lost.

In five of their last Bundesliga home games, the hosts have conceded an average of 1.80 first-half goals. In this period, they have lost four and drawn only once while conceding thirteen and scoring just six. To put this into context, the hosts also failed to score in three of the defeats within that period. 

BVB enter this tie as clear favourites having won over a good percentage of their matches against the bottom clubs.

The visitors have not conceded a first-half goal in 60% of their last five top-flight away games. With 74 goals to their name, they boast the league’s second-best attack with only Bayern ahead with 81 goals.

Favre’s side have recorded a winning margin of 2+ goals in seven of their last ten away wins since March last year. None will argue against them getting a couple against this side.

Suggested Bets

Dortmund to win @ 1/3

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Both Teams to Score/No @ 5/4

Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/9

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