Both sides head into Saturday’s contest at the Benteler-Arena on the back of disastrous forms, but Hoffenheim will particularly be keen to bounce back after that humbling defeat last weekend.
Date: Saturday, May 23
Kick-off: 14: 30
Paderborn were left cursing their luck in Düsseldorf last weekend after they failed to find a way past Fortuna Dusseldorf yet, thus remaining rooted to the foot of the Bundesliga table.
Under-fire Steffen Baumgart watched on as his side hit the woodwork four times and could only come away with a point, with their winless run now extended to six league games.
They sit 10 points from safety with eight games left to play, and it looks like an instant return to second tier for the North Rhine-Westphalia club is almost a certainty.
For Hoffenheim, it was also a forgettable day on return to office as they failed to reply all three of Hertha Berlin’s second half goals, with Kevin Akpoguma even lending a helping hand before goals from the opposition’s Vedad Ibisevic and Matheus Cunha finished them off inevitably.
They have however, avoided defeat in
nine of their 12 matches on the road in the division and so will travel in buoyant mood for this one.
Samuel Fridjonsson missed out last time with a knock but is back in contention for a spot in midfield.
Sven Michel, Luca Kilian and Sebastian Schonlau missed training this week but Baumgart is optimistic the skipper can play some role here.
Each of Andrej Kramaric, Ihlas Bebou and Sargis Adamyan are doubts for this game, while Munas Dabbur could return from compassionate leave.
Hoffenheim are unbeaten in each of the last three competitive meetings with Paderborn in history, winning two of those games.
Paderborn have scored against 19 of the 20 Bundesliga teams they have faced down the years. A goal against Hoffenheim is missing from that list.
Hoffenheim have won all three fixtures against promoted teams in the Bundesliga so far this season.
Paderborn last five games in all competitions: LLLLD
Hoffenheim last five matches in all competitions: LDLDL
When one consider that Paderborn have the league’s second worst defensive record overall this term, it is even harder backing them to come away with anything from this game. Granted Hoffenheim are not pulling up trees, and even have deficiencies of their own, but they will find their host’s defence a lot more pliable than most they have faced this season. Hoffenheim’s 11/10 odds for a win thus looks good to take, or even expect it to come with a bit of history on the Both Teams To Score/Match Result market thus, when backing Paderborn to score and then go on to lose the game. That is a whooping 5/2 on odds!
Should we see a fast-paced game, with end-to-end actions for both sides, it could also turn out to that we see some goals. Three of Hoffenheim’s last five league games have produced at least three goals while Paderborn have conceded at least twice in five of their last seven league games. Backing the over 2.5 goals market is priced 4/7 for odds.