With top spot secure for Bayern Munich, and qualification sealed for Spurs, this tie represents a dead rubber, so is there scope for value in the market?
Bayern Munich v Tottenham – Champions League Group B
Venue: Allianz Arena
Kick Off: 20:00
TV Channel: BT Sport
After both sides secured victory last time out in their respective group games, qualification has been sealed for both sides, and could see two experimental elevens on show from both sides, as relatively new managers get to grips with their squad.
It has been an impressive start from Jose Mourinho in charge of Spurs since Mauricio Pochettino’s sacking, with the only blip coming away at Manchester United during the week, where they lost 2-1. Bouncing back with a comprehensive 5-0 victory over Burnley on Saturday, Mourinho could opt to give a number of fringe players an opportunity to impress, whilst also using the match as an opportunity for himself to learn more about the squad he has at his disposal.
Goals have flowed for Spurs in Europe this season, racking up 17 for, however Mourinho will be acutely aware of the performance his side gave against Munich last time out, which saw the German side run riot in a 7-2 victory over Spurs, with Serge Gnabry shining with four goals to his name. Serge Aurier and Danny Rose particularly struggled that night, and Jan Vertonghen has been promoted to left back in recent weeks by Mourinho. Rose could be given another opportunity, whilst either Juan Foyth or Kyle Walker-Peters could start, as Spurs will rotate ahead of a busy Christmas period.
Bayern Munich have been in imperious form in the Champions League this season, racking up 21 goals and only conceding four, however the German Champions have struggled domestically, and fell to another victory against Borussia Monchengladback on Satuday. Javi Martinez saw red, as Ramy Bensebaini’s double saw Monchengladbach come from behind, as they soaked up vast amounts of pressure before hitting Bayern on the break. It has left Bayern seven points off the top, and increased the pressure on interim boss Hans-Dieter Flick.
The dead rubber nature of the game makes it hard one to predict, however with plenty of players being given a potential opportunity to impress, it could open up a few interesting betting angles.
Bayern will be without Niklas Sule, Lucas Hernandez, Fiete Arp, Corentin Tolisso and Jerome Boateng.
Erik Lamela, Hugo Lloris and Ben Davies are all long term absentees for Spurs
Head to Head:
Bayern Munich Wins – 3
Draws – 1
Tottenham Wins – 1
Robert Lewandowski has netted 10 Champions League goals this season
Harry Kane has scored in all four matches against German opponents in the Champions League he has played in
The teams have scored a combined 38 goals between them in the Champions League this season
Bayern Munich Last 5: W W W L L
Tottenham Last 5: W W W L W
With the uncertainty surrounding the importance each side will place upon this game, calling a winner is particularly hard. Goals should be expected, and going by the reverse fixture, both defences are capable of giving chances away. A more defensive minded Spurs side could be expected however, especially given Mourinho’s track record in these games, and it could see a tighter affair than first expected, with Spurs looking to sit in and counter.
Bayern’s form make them hard to support at such a short price, and although a large amount of rotation is expected from Spurs, they are an appealing option on the Draw No Bet at 22/5. As aforementioned, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Spurs sit and frustrate their opposition, and as a result I’d be willing to oppose goals in the game. Under 3.5 is available at 10/11, and would be my second angle of approach for the game.