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Match Preview: Atletico Madrid v Granada

Home » Match Preview: Atletico Madrid v Granada

Granada travel to Atletico Madrid with the pressure beginning to mount on Diego Simeone, and fresh from defeating Valencia in the Copa Del Rey, Granada will be confident of upsetting the odds once again.

Atletico Madrid v Granada – La Liga

Venue: Wanda Metropolitano Stadium

Date: 08/02/20

Kick Off: 20:00

TV Channel: La Liga TV

Atletico Madrid are hoping to arrest an alarming run of form as they host newly promoted Granada, who will be full of confidence after a midweek win over Valencia in the Copa Del Rey.

Without a win since beating Levante 2-1 on 4th January, the injuries are mounting for Simeone’s side, and failure to add a striker to their ranks in January was particularly concerning. Misfiring forward Alvaro Morata drew a blank once again last weekend in defeat in the Madrid derby, and the Spanish striker has been ruled out for Granada’s visit, adding to Simeone’s woes.

The underlying statistics in attack don’t make for pretty reading for Atletico Madrid, as they have been underperforming their expected goals (xG) by 13.08 across the season. However, as well as the goals drying up in recent weeks, with no goal in three league games, so has the chance creation, with an xG of less than one in their last three league games.

Morata’s absence adds to their woes, and their next top scorer is Angel Correa with only three goals to his name. Another criminally under-performing their xG, even if Atletico are to increase their chance creation, there is no gurantee they have the players to take the chances. With Joao Felix and Diego Costa both missing out, either a reliance on youth strikers or a make shift role would be expected, with Simeone set in using 4-4-2. Yannick Carrasco has arrived, and could add much needed creativity, but big ask stepping straight up after spell in China, and he was only used for 18 minutes off the bench against Real Madrid.

Granada have been the surprise package in La Liga and domestic cup competitions in Spain this season, and despite a torrid record against Atletico, they will be confident of upsetting the odds. Another tight defensive unit, they have only conceded 29 goals this season whilst scoring 27 goals, and they showed their resilience when going down 1-0 to Barcelona a few weeks ago.

Despite being reduced to ten men, they held their own before Lionel Messi’s magic touch came to the fore once again, and they will be full of confidence they can blunt this Atletico attack. Looking to utilise the counter attack against a defence that plays a particularly high line, Carlos Fernandez and Antonio Puertas will offer a threat, top scoring with four goals apiece, whilst the threat from Darwin Marchis can’t be underestimated.

A tight affair is expected once again on Saturday night, and how Simeone’s side react to the injuries and building pressure will be of particular interest, especially with a Champions League clash with Liverpool looming.

Team News:

The injuries are beginning to mount for Diego Simoeone’s side, with Diego Costa, Koke, Jose Gimenez, Kieran Trippier, Santiago Arias, Joao Felix and Alvaro Morata all out. Felipe is suspended.

Granada are without Neyder Lozano, Quini and Fede Vico.

Head to Head:

Atletico Madrid Wins: 10

Draws: 3

Granada Wins: 0

Match Stats:

Atletico have only lost two home games since the start of 2018/19, coming against Real Madrid and Barcelona

Atletico Madrid have only scored 22 goals in 22 league games

Diego Simeone is unbeaten in 23 meetings against newly promoted sides, keeping 16 clean sheets.

Team Form:

Atletico Madrid 6th / L L L D L

Granada 10th / W L W W W

Suggested Bets:

Given the torrid run of form Atletico Madrid are on, and the injuries they are suffering, it is surprising to see them as short as 2/5. With goals an issue for both sides and two solid defensive units, opposing goals is the way forward, and it is no surprise to see Under 2.5 goals the favourite at 8/13. Patience will be required for Atletico, and if you are fancying a victory for Atletico on Saturday, adding the draw at HT would boost the odds to 5/4.

Arguably, it can be seen that Granada are the form side heading into this, and given the odds on nature of Atletico seemingly disregarding their current problems taking either the draw at 17/5, or Granada at 12/1 is much more advisable. Atleti could have one eye on their game against Liverpool looming, so Simeone won’t be risking any players 50/50 for the game, no matter how key they are, and Granada are tactically well suited to causing a shock.

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