A key clash in Group F awaits these two European heavyweights, as defeat for Dortmund will severely dent any hopes of qualification to the knock out round.
Borussia Dortmund v Inter Milan – Champions League
Venue: BVB Stadion Dortmund
Kick Off: 20:00
TV Channel: BT Sport ESPN
The previous meeting between these two sides was a cagey affair, as Antonio Conte’s side won 2-0 in a tight, tactical battle. Goals from Lautaro Martinez and Antonio Candreva showed the Italian side’s clinical nature in a game of few chances, as Dortmund were frustrated by Inter’s impressive defensive unit. It has left the group left finely poised after three games, with Inter and Dortmund level on four points, three points behind leaders Barcelona.
Inter’s impressive domestic form has continued this week, with an injury time winner from Romelu Lukaky away at Bologna keeping the pressure up on league leaders Juventus. Having gone behind early in the second half to Roberto Soriano’s opener, a double from Lukaku, including the injury time penalty, leaves them a point behind Juventus, and with nine league wins in eleven.
Dortmund’s comfortable win against Wolfsburg on Saturday will give them the confidence boost they require, and came courtesy of goals from Thorgan Hazard, Raphael Guerreiro and Mario Gotze. This has left them in 2nd, three points behind Monchengladbach, as their domestic form has picked up recently after a slow start.
Lucien Favre’s side will be without Marcel Schmelzer as the only injury concern.
Inter Milan rested Kwadwo Asamoah, Diego Godin and Antonio Candreva on Saturday, with all three expected to return for the trip to Germany. Stefano Sensi returned to the bench, offering a huge boost ahead of Tuesday.
Head to Head:
Dortmund – 0 Wins
Draws – 1
Inter Milan – 2 Wins
Inter’s 2-0 win in the previous round of fixtures was the first meeting between these two sides since 1964, where Inter came out on top on aggregate 4-2.
Inter Milan have picked up nine yellow cards in three Champions League games, and 26 in 11 Serie A games.
Dortmund have scored 23 goals in 10 Bundesliga games this season, but only twice in three Champions League games.
Dortmund Last 5 (All Competitions): W W D L W
Inter Milan Last 5 (All Competitions): W W D W W
As touched upon previously, the opening affair between these two sides was a tight, cagey affair, as Inter managed the game excellently. This has been a theme throughout many of Inter’s games this season, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see this continue once again.
Conte’s side will be happy with a point, and will look to sit deep against Dortmund to guard against the pace of Dortmund’s attackers, a tactic they employed well and as a result frustrated Favre’s side in the first game. Jadon Sancho and Thorgan Hazard struggled to have a meaningful impact on the game, whilst Julian Brandt struggled in central areas. The back three of Inter have been in impressive domestic form, only conceding 11 at an xG of 9.97, and will be confident of carrying this form into this game. Favre will have to try and find the right balance in attack and find a way of getting in behind the Inter backline, who have showed their susceptibility to pace at times this season. It will likely lead to a deep Inter defence, which would theoretically mean more space for players in the central areas, however they lacked the cutting edge in the first encounter between these two sides, and would need vast improvements to make them worth supporting at odds on.
Inter showcased their counter attacking talent in their trip to the Nou Camp, and will look to employ similar tactics once again. Lautaro Martinez has been in fine form and is well equipped to utilise his pace on the break, particularly up against Mats Hummels at the back, whilst the onrushing wing backs will have space to exploit, especially if Sancho and Hazard are to look to press high and not expected to track back. It is hard to get excited with Dortmund odds on, and the value appears to lie in Inter Draw no Bet, available at 7/4.