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Chelsea v Lille

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Chelsea host Lille in the final round of group games in the Champions League knowing a victory will send the English side through.

Chelsea v Lille – Champions League Group H

Venue: Stamford Bridge

Date: 10/12/19

Kick Off: 20:00

TV Channel: BT Sport

Frank Lampard’s side come into this match on the back of a disappointing defeat against a revitalised Everton side on Saturday, as they struggled to match the Toffees intensity and direct nature, as the defence struggled. It will be a different threat on Tuesday night at Stamford Bridge, as the Blues come up against Christophe Galtier’s Lille, who have already been knocked out of the Champions League after only collecting one point in five games.

Lille have struggled with the step up from Ligue 1 to Champions League football, and they have been forced to adapt tactically to guard against the higher quality on show in these games. Averaging just 45.2% possession, they look to sit deep, guarding against the lack of mobility at the back with Jose Fonte and Gabriel. Hoping this then draws the opposition on, Lille will then look to utilise the exciting attacking talents on the break of the likes of Jonathan Bamba and Jonathan Ikone, who look to turn provider to top scorer Victor Osimhen, who is top goal scorer with eleven goals in all competition. They do offer a strong threat going forward, and coming up a Chelsea team showing frailties at the back, they will fancy their chances of netting, particularly as they have nothing to lose.

Lampard could opt for a handful of changes in response to the weekend’s defeat, and with the back two of Andreas Christensen and Kurt Zouma struggling, it would be no surprise to see a recall for Fikayo Tomori, especially up against the pacey, in form Osimhen. Jorginho missed out on Saturday, and Chelsea’s midfield felt like it was lacking balance without the Italian, as N’Golo Kante in particular struggled on the ball to deal with the Toffees high press. Bringing the Italian midfielder back in would offer up greater control for Lampard’s side, especially against a side they will need to work hard to break down. Reliance upon top goalscorer Tammy Abraham is apparent, and Chelsea will be hoping that others can step up and contribute, as they look to secure qualification from Group H.

The result of the game between Ajax and Valencia could have a bearing on the outcome of this one, as an Ajax win would leave Chelsea just needing a point, and that is something certainly worth considering when looking at the betting markets. Chelsea’s shaky form, coupled with a Lille side with nothing to lose, has set up an exciting encounter, and Lampard will be hoping it is a routine victory for his side, seeing Chelsea through.

Team News:

Chelsea will be without long-term absentees Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Marco van Ginkel and Antonio Rudiger

Lille’s only absentee for the trip to London is attacker Timothy Weah.

Head to Head:

Chelsea Wins – 1

Draws – 0

Lille Wins – 1

Match Stats:

Chelsea have only lost one of their eight previous home games against French sides French sides in the Champions League

Chelsea are winless in their last five Champions League home games

Victor Osimhen has netted two of Lille’s three goals in the Champions League this season, though both games ended in defeat

Team Form:

Chelsea Last 5: L D L W L

Lille Last 5: L L W W W

Suggested Bets:

With Chelsea’s shaky backline showing vulnerability, particularly to crosses from wide areas, it is hard to see them keeping a clean sheet, particularly against this exciting Lille side with nothing to lose. I’d still expect Chelsea to win, but to support them at such a short price, especially given their worries, is tough. As a result, I’d be looking at two angles of attack for this.

Firstly, the value lies within the Lille anytime goalscorer markets, as Chelsea’s main threat is best priced at odds on. As a result, with an imperious scoring record this season, coupled with an aerial threat that will trouble the Chelsea backline, Osimhen takes appeal at 7/2. Chelsea will be susceptible to the break with their high pressing full backs, and it should leave enough space for the dangerous Lille attack to utilise.

However, as aforementioned, I’d still expect Chelsea to come away victorious, particularly with Tammy Abraham and co well suited to break down the Lille backline. The wingers can sometimes be found wanting defensively, and the threat of Chelsea down the flanks, particularly through their full backs, is hard to ignore. As a result, I’d be looking at Chelsea and BTTS at 15/8.

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